What happens to other Supernova alliances?

Well it is a theory i have been thinking for a lot of time. What will happen to the Apoo Hawkins Kidd alliance? Will they beat Kaido or be defeated by him? Well i think that it is really possible that they will be defeated by Kaido so that Luffy and Law will be those to beat him.

After kidd and the others are defeated i think that Kidd is going to form an Alliance with Blackbeard kill shanks and resulting in Kidd becoming a yonko this will happen like a lot of time after law and luffy beat kaido.

Law and luffy's alliance is sure to be enhanched with some other alliance members like Gecko moriah, Lucci and CP9 but i think the most possible character to join the alliance will be X-Drake. So let's say that the Alliance is composed of Luffy Law and X-Drake and they beat kaido what happens next?I think thay it results in Law becoming a yonko with X-Drake becoming his 1st Commander (as Luffy is not interested in becoming a Yonko).

Right after that luffy will oppose big mom with his crew only, beat her and he will have no choice but become a yonko. Then the whole incident i mentioned with shanks and the new Yonkos will be Blackbeard, Law, Luffy and Kidd. People don't nominate themselves Yonkos they earn that title by getting more power and more territory, Blackbeard went to each and every single island was under whitebeard flag and he made them all his new territory that's why he was counted as the new Yonko. with what happened in the last chapter and If luffy accept the new subordinate will be one step closer to the Yonko, he may even turn it to be Goko (5 emperors).